Real Aranjuez CF vs CD Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
19.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
COS
2 - 1
ARA
47%
24%
29%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ARA
2 - 0
IDM
52%
22%
26%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
MOS
2 - 0
ARA
67%
19%
14%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ARG
2 - 1
ARA
33%
24%
43%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ARA
0 - 2
URS
61%
21%
18%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CD Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CDF
0 - 2
VIL
43%
22%
34%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CDF
0 - 3
COS
41%
23%
36%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
IDM
1 - 3
CDF
58%
20%
22%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
MOS
2 - 1
CDF
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CDF
2 - 0
ARG
35%
24%
42%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +2 |