Pref. Madrid Round 29

Real Aranjuez CF vs CD Fortuna analysis

Real Aranjuez CF CD Fortuna
23 ELO 26
-7.7% Tilt -6.8%
10465º General ELO ranking 12363º
754º Country ELO ranking 1787º
ELO win probability
33.6%
Real Aranjuez CF
26.3%
Draw
40.1%
CD Fortuna

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
Real Aranjuez CF
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
40.1%
Win probability
CD Fortuna
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Real Aranjuez CF
+33%
-10%
CD Fortuna

ELO progression

Real Aranjuez CF
CD Fortuna
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Real Aranjuez CF
Real Aranjuez CF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Apr. 2011
COL
CD Colonia Moscardó
1 - 0
Real Aranjuez CF
ARA
65%
21%
15%
22 27 5 0
03 Apr. 2011
ARA
Real Aranjuez CF
0 - 1
CD Griñón
GRI
53%
23%
24%
22 21 1 0
27 Mar. 2011
VAL
At. Valdemoro
2 - 1
Real Aranjuez CF
ARA
27%
25%
48%
23 17 6 -1
20 Mar. 2011
ARA
Real Aranjuez CF
5 - 2
Loeches
LOE
53%
24%
23%
22 21 1 +1
13 Mar. 2011
LAA
CD La Avanzada
2 - 3
Real Aranjuez CF
ARA
24%
24%
53%
22 14 8 0

Matches

CD Fortuna
CD Fortuna
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Apr. 2011
CDF
CD Fortuna
0 - 0
Colmenar Oreja
COL
60%
22%
18%
28 22 6 0
03 Apr. 2011
LEG
Leganés B
1 - 2
CD Fortuna
CDF
43%
25%
32%
27 22 5 +1
27 Mar. 2011
CDF
CD Fortuna
1 - 0
Arganda
ARG
69%
19%
12%
27 17 10 0
20 Mar. 2011
LUG
CD Lugo Fuenlabrada
0 - 0
CD Fortuna
CDF
39%
26%
36%
27 23 4 0
13 Mar. 2011
CDF
CD Fortuna
1 - 0
Ciempozuelos
CIE
55%
23%
23%
27 22 5 0