Real Aranjuez CF vs Alcorcón B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ADP
3 - 1
ARA
47%
25%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 1
COL
30%
24%
46%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
PNT
1 - 2
ARA
28%
25%
47%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
ATM
2 - 3
ARA
39%
25%
35%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
ARA
2 - 0
VLO
46%
26%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Alcorcón B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ALC
0 - 0
COL
26%
26%
49%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
PBO
1 - 2
ALC
76%
16%
8%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ALC
0 - 0
MEX
25%
26%
49%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ALC
1 - 1
POZ
16%
24%
60%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
MAJ
4 - 0
ALC
73%
17%
10%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |