Real Aranjuez CF vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
10%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1983 |
TRJ
1 - 1
ARA
62%
21%
16%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1983 |
ARA
2 - 1
SFN
79%
15%
6%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1983 |
SEG
2 - 3
ARA
45%
26%
29%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
ARA
2 - 2
MAN
56%
23%
21%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1983 |
ARA
1 - 1
CDB
72%
18%
10%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1983 |
ALC
1 - 0
ATM
69%
18%
12%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1983 |
LEG
2 - 0
ALC
58%
24%
18%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1983 |
ALC
6 - 3
TAR
50%
25%
25%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +3 |
| 25 Sep. 1983 |
ARG
0 - 3
ALC
58%
23%
18%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1983 |
ALC
1 - 1
MST
68%
19%
13%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |