Real Apodaca vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
48.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
10º
1º
25
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
25 | 24 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 21 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Apodaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2025 |
RAF
3 - 1
ZAC
30%
24%
45%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
MIN
2 - 0
RAF
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
DUR
1 - 1
RAF
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
RAF
4 - 3
COR
39%
23%
38%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2024 |
RAF
3 - 2
ADG
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CIM
2 - 1
LCU
54%
26%
20%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
CIM
4 - 1
EST
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ZAC
0 - 3
CIM
28%
26%
47%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
IRA
3 - 0
CIM
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2024 |
CIM
1 - 0
IRA
30%
26%
44%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |