Reading vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
NOR
0 - 2
REA
30%
27%
44%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
REA
1 - 2
BRE
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2001 |
OLD
0 - 1
REA
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
NOT
3 - 4
REA
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
REA
1 - 3
SWI
66%
21%
14%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
WRE
1 - 3
CAR
36%
27%
38%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
HUR
5 - 1
WRE
59%
23%
19%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2001 |
WRE
1 - 1
BPO
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
WIG
2 - 3
WRE
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
WRE
1 - 0
QPR
35%
27%
39%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |