Reading vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
29%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1989 |
NEW
4 - 0
REA
76%
14%
10%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1989 |
REA
3 - 1
NEW
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 1989 |
REA
2 - 2
BRI
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1989 |
BRI
2 - 3
REA
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1989 |
REA
1 - 2
GRI
53%
24%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1990 |
HUL
3 - 2
SUN
34%
29%
38%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1989 |
SUN
2 - 2
POR
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1989 |
SUN
1 - 0
OXF
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1989 |
OPA
3 - 3
SUN
43%
29%
29%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1989 |
IPS
1 - 1
SUN
51%
26%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |