Reading vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.2%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
REA
2 - 1
CAR
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
BPO
1 - 0
REA
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
REA
1 - 2
BHA
26%
27%
47%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
AFC
0 - 2
REA
19%
22%
59%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
REA
1 - 1
WHU
9%
20%
71%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
STE
2 - 1
STO
31%
27%
42%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
TRA
1 - 2
STE
60%
24%
16%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
STA
5 - 0
STE
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
PET
0 - 0
STE
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
STE
1 - 0
DER
21%
24%
55%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |