League One Round 30

Reading vs Port Vale analysis

Reading Port Vale
62 ELO 52
5.8% Tilt 2.9%
1611º General ELO ranking 2493º
50º Country ELO ranking 65º
ELO win probability
66.6%
Reading
19.7%
Draw
13.7%
Port Vale

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
Reading
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.7%
Win probability
Port Vale
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Reading
-1%
+8%
Port Vale

ELO progression

Reading
Port Vale
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Reading
Reading
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jan. 2001
REA
Reading
1 - 0
Bristol Rovers
BRO
58%
23%
20%
61 58 3 0
13 Jan. 2001
STO
Stoke City
0 - 0
Reading
REA
55%
24%
22%
61 64 3 0
06 Jan. 2001
REA
Reading
3 - 4
Millwall
MIL
40%
26%
34%
61 67 6 0
01 Jan. 2001
REA
Reading
1 - 1
Northampton
NOR
57%
24%
19%
61 59 2 0
26 Dec. 2000
BRO
Bristol Rovers
2 - 2
Reading
REA
40%
26%
34%
61 58 3 0

Matches

Port Vale
Port Vale
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jan. 2001
ROT
Rotherham United
3 - 2
Port Vale
POR
67%
20%
13%
53 63 10 0
13 Jan. 2001
SWI
Swindon Town
0 - 1
Port Vale
POR
53%
23%
24%
52 52 0 +1
06 Jan. 2001
POR
Port Vale
0 - 0
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
42%
27%
31%
52 57 5 0
26 Dec. 2000
WRE
Wrexham AFC
1 - 0
Port Vale
POR
50%
25%
25%
53 57 4 -1
22 Dec. 2000
POR
Port Vale
0 - 2
Rotherham United
ROT
30%
27%
43%
53 64 11 0