Premier League Round 11

Reading vs Norwich City analysis

Reading Norwich City
80 ELO 80
9.6% Tilt 4.5%
1600º General ELO ranking 796º
50º Country ELO ranking 30º
ELO win probability
47%
Reading
24.6%
Draw
28.4%
Norwich City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
Reading
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28.4%
Win probability
Norwich City
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Reading
+4%
-9%
Norwich City

ELO progression

Reading
Norwich City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Reading
Reading
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Nov. 2012
QPR
Queens Park Rangers
1 - 1
Reading
REA
39%
27%
35%
80 76 4 0
30 Oct. 2012
REA
Reading
5 - 7
Arsenal
ARS
15%
20%
65%
80 91 11 0
27 Oct. 2012
REA
Reading
3 - 3
Fulham
FUL
36%
28%
36%
80 86 6 0
20 Oct. 2012
LIV
Liverpool
1 - 0
Reading
REA
72%
18%
11%
80 89 9 0
06 Oct. 2012
SWA
Swansea City
2 - 2
Reading
REA
46%
25%
28%
80 81 1 0

Matches

Norwich City
Norwich City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Nov. 2012
NOR
Norwich City
1 - 0
Stoke City
STO
48%
26%
27%
80 84 4 0
31 Oct. 2012
NOR
Norwich City
2 - 1
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
26%
25%
49%
80 89 9 0
27 Oct. 2012
ASV
Aston Villa
1 - 1
Norwich City
NOR
56%
24%
21%
80 85 5 0
20 Oct. 2012
NOR
Norwich City
1 - 0
Arsenal
ARS
14%
20%
66%
79 91 12 +1
06 Oct. 2012
CHL
Chelsea
4 - 1
Norwich City
NOR
83%
12%
5%
79 92 13 0