Championship Round 33

Reading vs Middlesbrough analysis

Reading Middlesbrough
60 ELO 70
-5.2% Tilt 9.3%
1594º General ELO ranking 615º
50º Country ELO ranking 24º
ELO win probability
44.2%
Reading
28.8%
Draw
27%
Middlesbrough

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
Reading
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
27%
Win probability
Middlesbrough
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Reading
-2%
-4%
Middlesbrough

ELO progression

Reading
Middlesbrough
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Reading
Reading
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Feb. 1988
REA
Reading
2 - 3
Millwall
MIL
42%
28%
30%
60 69 9 0
06 Feb. 1988
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
4 - 2
Reading
REA
62%
21%
16%
61 70 9 -1
30 Jan. 1988
REA
Reading
1 - 2
Leicester
LEI
42%
27%
31%
61 67 6 0
23 Jan. 1988
REA
Reading
1 - 0
Shrewsbury Town
STF
47%
27%
26%
61 63 2 0
09 Jan. 1988
REA
Reading
0 - 1
Southampton
SOU
13%
20%
68%
61 82 21 0

Matches

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Feb. 1988
MID
Middlesbrough
2 - 1
Aston Villa
ASV
32%
27%
41%
70 79 9 0
09 Feb. 1988
EVE
Everton
2 - 1
Middlesbrough
MID
80%
14%
5%
70 90 20 0
06 Feb. 1988
SWI
Swindon Town
1 - 1
Middlesbrough
MID
62%
22%
16%
70 70 0 0
03 Feb. 1988
MID
Middlesbrough
2 - 2
Everton
EVE
22%
30%
48%
69 90 21 +1
30 Jan. 1988
EVE
Everton
1 - 1
Middlesbrough
MID
81%
14%
5%
69 90 21 0