Reading vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
36.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
LIV
1 - 0
REA
72%
18%
11%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
SWA
2 - 2
REA
46%
25%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
REA
2 - 2
NEW
30%
26%
45%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
QPR
2 - 3
REA
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
WBA
1 - 0
REA
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
FUL
1 - 0
ASV
56%
22%
22%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 2
FUL
37%
28%
36%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
FUL
1 - 2
MAC
26%
25%
49%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
WIG
1 - 2
FUL
40%
28%
32%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
FUL
3 - 0
WBA
57%
22%
21%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |