Reading vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
18.8%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
41.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2018 |
NTT
1 - 1
REA
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
MID
2 - 1
REA
46%
28%
26%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
REA
0 - 2
MIL
39%
28%
34%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
BUR
1 - 3
REA
29%
26%
46%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
SHW
3 - 1
REA
44%
25%
31%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
DER
2 - 2
LEE
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2018 |
SHW
2 - 0
DER
37%
28%
36%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
DER
1 - 1
NOR
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
DER
3 - 0
BRE
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
MIL
0 - 0
DER
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |