Reading vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
64.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
REA
3 - 3
FUL
36%
28%
36%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
LIV
1 - 0
REA
72%
18%
11%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
SWA
2 - 2
REA
46%
25%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
REA
2 - 2
NEW
30%
26%
45%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
QPR
2 - 3
REA
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
ARS
1 - 0
QPR
81%
14%
6%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
ARS
0 - 2
S04
57%
22%
21%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 0
ARS
14%
20%
66%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
WHU
1 - 3
ARS
16%
21%
63%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
ARS
3 - 1
OLP
76%
16%
8%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |