Reading City vs Virginia Water analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
16.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
RAC
3 - 1
SHA
36%
22%
42%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
HOL
0 - 3
RAC
18%
18%
64%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | +3 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
RAC
4 - 0
EAS
59%
20%
20%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
EAS
2 - 2
RAC
18%
18%
64%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
RAC
1 - 1
RIS
24%
20%
56%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Virginia Water
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
VIR
2 - 0
EGH
43%
22%
36%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BRU
5 - 3
VIR
35%
22%
43%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
VIR
1 - 0
RAY
58%
20%
22%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
VIR
1 - 0
NOR
40%
21%
39%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
VIR
1 - 5
CRI
26%
22%
52%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |