RD Congo vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
11.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RD Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 1972 |
MAR
1 - 1
COD
66%
18%
16%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1972 |
COD
2 - 0
COG
77%
13%
10%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1972 |
COD
1 - 1
SDN
74%
14%
11%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
GHA
1 - 1
COD
71%
16%
14%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1970 |
COD
3 - 0
SDN
67%
17%
16%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1972 |
CMR
1 - 1
MLI
71%
16%
13%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1972 |
MLI
1 - 1
KEN
71%
16%
13%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1972 |
MLI
3 - 3
TGO
73%
15%
12%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1972 |
GIN
4 - 3
MLI
62%
18%
20%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1972 |
MLI
1 - 1
SEN
62%
19%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |