RD Congo vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Democratic Republic Of Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
COD
3 - 1
ANG
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
MAD
0 - 0
COD
18%
22%
60%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
NAM
1 - 1
COD
26%
24%
51%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2007 |
ETH
1 - 0
COD
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
CGO
2 - 1
COD
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
SDN
1 - 0
LBY
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
LBY
3 - 1
ETH
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
NAM
1 - 0
LBY
29%
25%
46%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
BOT
0 - 0
LBY
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
LBY
2 - 1
NAM
66%
20%
15%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |