AFCON Qualifying 2nd Round Final
Global 5-2
The Democratic Republic Of Congo vs Equatorial Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
12.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Democratic Republic Of Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
COD
3 - 0
SYC
84%
12%
5%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
COD
2 - 0
TOG
67%
20%
14%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
CMR
1 - 0
COD
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
EGY
0 - 0
COD
84%
12%
5%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
SYC
0 - 4
COD
12%
18%
71%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
EQG
2 - 2
SLE
26%
24%
50%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
TUN
3 - 1
EQG
86%
10%
4%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
CIV
3 - 0
EQG
85%
11%
4%
|
61 | 89 | 28 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
EQG
0 - 1
ZAM
14%
21%
65%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
EQG
2 - 1
SEN
8%
20%
72%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | +1 |