Real Ariquemes vs Guajará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Ariquemes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 4
RDA
36%
23%
41%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
POR
2 - 5
RDA
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
RDA
2 - 0
GEN
59%
21%
21%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
RDA
1 - 4
AVA
2%
8%
90%
|
33 | 72 | 39 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 1
RDA
20%
21%
58%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Guajará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 3
POR
13%
17%
70%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 1
GEN
37%
23%
40%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 1
GUA
62%
19%
19%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 1
RDA
20%
21%
58%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
POR
4 - 0
GUA
73%
15%
11%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |