RCD Carabanchel vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
29.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RCD Carabanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1955 |
LEG
4 - 2
CAR
88%
8%
4%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
GUA
3 - 1
CAR
79%
12%
9%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1955 |
CAR
2 - 0
UDG
48%
22%
31%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
CDT
4 - 2
CAR
86%
9%
6%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
CAR
1 - 0
UBC
65%
17%
18%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1955 |
ARA
2 - 0
GUA
71%
15%
14%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
UDG
3 - 0
ARA
60%
19%
21%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 1955 |
ARA
6 - 0
CDT
72%
15%
13%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
UBC
1 - 0
ARA
43%
23%
34%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
ARA
2 - 0
PAR
88%
8%
4%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |