RCD Carabanchel vs Móstoles CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RCD Carabanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 3
CAR
16%
21%
64%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 2
CDE
38%
25%
38%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
ALA
2 - 0
CAR
53%
22%
26%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
PAR
53%
22%
25%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
CAR
26%
25%
49%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Móstoles CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
MOS
4 - 0
ARG
66%
19%
16%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ALU
0 - 0
MOS
27%
26%
47%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MOS
3 - 1
ARA
38%
23%
38%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CDF
0 - 0
MOS
23%
23%
54%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MOS
2 - 1
CAM
52%
22%
26%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |