Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
31.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
MAL
4 - 2
RAY
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
RAY
3 - 0
BET
50%
24%
27%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ESP
5 - 1
RAY
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
RAY
4 - 2
RAC
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
RAY
0 - 1
RMA
8%
17%
76%
|
80 | 97 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 1
RMA
9%
18%
74%
|
85 | 97 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LEV
1 - 0
VIL
43%
26%
32%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 2
GET
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ZAR
2 - 1
VIL
37%
26%
37%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 2
ATH
42%
26%
32%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |