LaLiga Round 32

Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia analysis

Rayo Vallecano Valencia
90 ELO 92
-3.3% Tilt -12.5%
74º General ELO ranking 56º
15º Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
34.4%
Rayo Vallecano
26%
Draw
39.6%
Valencia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
Rayo Vallecano
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
39.6%
Win probability
Valencia
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Rayo Vallecano
+4%
+7%
Valencia

Points and table prediction

Rayo Vallecano
Their league position
Valencia
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
14º
46
11º
20º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Barcelona
88
88
100%
Real Madrid
84
84
100%
Atlético
76
76
100%
Athletic
70
70
0%
Villarreal
70
70
0%
Real Betis
60
60
100%
Celta
55
55
100%
Osasuna
52
52
100%
Rayo Vallecano
52
52
100%
Mallorca
10º
48
48
10º
100%
Real Sociedad
11º
46
46
11º
100%
Valencia
12º
46
46
12º
100%
Getafe
13º
42
42
13º
0%
Deportivo Alavés
15º
42
42
14º
0%
Espanyol
14º
42
42
15º
100%
Sevilla
17º
41
41
16º
100%
Girona
16º
41
41
17º
100%
Leganés
18º
40
40
18º
100%
UD Las Palmas
19º
32
32
19º
100%
Real Valladolid
20º
16
16
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Rayo Vallecano
Valencia
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Rayo Vallecano
Valencia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2025
ATH
Athletic
3 - 1
Rayo Vallecano
RAY
66%
21%
13%
90 96 6 0
04 Apr. 2025
RAY
Rayo Vallecano
0 - 4
Espanyol
ESP
50%
25%
25%
90 89 1 0
29 Mar. 2025
ALA
Deportivo Alavés
0 - 2
Rayo Vallecano
RAY
35%
29%
36%
90 88 2 0
16 Mar. 2025
RAY
Rayo Vallecano
2 - 2
Real Sociedad
RSO
31%
27%
42%
89 93 4 +1
09 Mar. 2025
RMA
Real Madrid
2 - 1
Rayo Vallecano
RAY
86%
11%
3%
89 100 11 0

Matches

Valencia
Valencia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Apr. 2025
VCF
Valencia
1 - 0
Sevilla
SEV
38%
27%
35%
92 92 0 0
05 Apr. 2025
RMA
Real Madrid
1 - 2
Valencia
VCF
85%
11%
4%
91 100 9 +1
30 Mar. 2025
VCF
Valencia
1 - 0
Mallorca
MLL
47%
26%
27%
91 90 1 0
15 Mar. 2025
GIR
Girona
1 - 1
Valencia
VCF
52%
23%
25%
91 92 1 0
08 Mar. 2025
VCF
Valencia
2 - 1
Real Valladolid
VAD
56%
23%
21%
91 85 6 0