Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
60.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
SPO
2 - 2
RAY
37%
25%
38%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
RAY
2 - 0
UDL
49%
24%
28%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2016 |
DEP
2 - 2
RAY
42%
25%
34%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
RAY
3 - 0
CEL
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
VCF
2 - 2
RAY
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
SEV
3 - 0
MFK
75%
16%
9%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SEV
2 - 0
UDL
76%
16%
9%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
CEL
2 - 2
SEV
32%
25%
43%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CEL
1 - 1
SEV
30%
25%
46%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
SEV
4 - 0
CEL
64%
20%
15%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |