Rayo Vallecano vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
11.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
MLL
0 - 1
RAY
14%
23%
63%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
RAY
1 - 0
FUE
79%
15%
7%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
ART
1 - 2
RAY
10%
21%
69%
|
78 | 38 | 40 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
RAY
1 - 2
UDL
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
SLA
1 - 1
RAY
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
RMC
3 - 1
NAV
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
MLL
0 - 1
RMC
32%
26%
42%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
RMC
5 - 0
ALC
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
LAN
1 - 3
RMC
44%
24%
32%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
RMC
2 - 2
LAN
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |