Rayo Vallecano vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
9.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1980 |
RAY
3 - 0
MER
87%
9%
4%
|
73 | 36 | 37 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
GRA
1 - 3
RAY
43%
27%
31%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
RAY
3 - 1
LIN
76%
16%
9%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1980 |
ZAR
3 - 2
RAY
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1980 |
RAY
1 - 2
ALM
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
REC
5 - 0
BAL
85%
10%
5%
|
61 | 32 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
LIN
0 - 0
REC
43%
31%
26%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
REC
1 - 1
CAS
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1980 |
PAL
2 - 2
REC
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1980 |
REC
0 - 0
SAB
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |