Rayo Vallecano vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
29%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
LEV
7 - 1
RAY
74%
15%
11%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
RAY
1 - 0
EXT
56%
22%
23%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
HER
1 - 0
RAY
78%
14%
9%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1961 |
VAL
3 - 1
RAY
66%
19%
16%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
RAY
1 - 0
MAL
57%
21%
21%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
MUR
0 - 0
CAS
76%
15%
9%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
UDL
0 - 1
MUR
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
MUR
2 - 0
VAL
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
CCF
1 - 0
MUR
71%
17%
12%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
MUR
2 - 0
RJA
61%
21%
18%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |