Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
55.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1997 |
EXT
1 - 0
RAY
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1997 |
RAY
1 - 1
ATH
45%
26%
30%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1997 |
EXT
1 - 2
RAY
47%
24%
28%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1997 |
VAD
4 - 0
RAY
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1997 |
RAY
2 - 2
EXT
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1997 |
RMA
2 - 2
BET
68%
19%
13%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1997 |
HER
2 - 3
RMA
17%
23%
61%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1997 |
RMA
1 - 1
FCB
50%
24%
27%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1997 |
RMA
3 - 2
DEP
69%
20%
12%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1997 |
FCB
3 - 2
RMA
59%
21%
20%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |