Rayo Vallecano vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
9.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
GRA
2 - 0
RAY
65%
22%
13%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
RAY
2 - 0
CDT
57%
25%
19%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1976 |
REC
2 - 1
RAY
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1976 |
GER
2 - 1
RAY
39%
24%
37%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
RAY
2 - 1
PUE
68%
21%
11%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
RJA
2 - 2
CAD
39%
29%
33%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
CAS
1 - 1
RJA
69%
21%
10%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1976 |
RJA
1 - 0
PON
51%
27%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
LEV
1 - 2
RJA
71%
20%
10%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
RJA
3 - 1
OVI
25%
29%
46%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | +2 |