Rayo Vallecano vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
RAY
1 - 1
GIM
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
OVI
2 - 0
RAY
17%
23%
60%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
RAY
3 - 0
CAD
77%
15%
8%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
REU
1 - 1
RAY
11%
22%
67%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
RAY
2 - 0
GET
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
NUM
1 - 1
CCF
45%
27%
29%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
OVI
2 - 2
NUM
40%
29%
32%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
NUM
2 - 1
ZAR
41%
27%
33%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
CAD
1 - 0
NUM
38%
29%
34%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
NUM
1 - 0
GIM
52%
26%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |