Rayo Vallecano vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
HUE
2 - 1
RAY
31%
30%
40%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
RAY
3 - 3
RSO
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
GIM
1 - 1
RAY
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
RAY
2 - 0
MUR
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
ATH
2 - 2
RAY
69%
20%
11%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
NUM
2 - 1
CAR
66%
22%
13%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
ALB
2 - 3
NUM
35%
29%
36%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
NUM
1 - 1
REC
39%
28%
34%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
HER
1 - 0
NUM
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
NUM
2 - 2
CCF
59%
24%
17%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |