Rayo Vallecano vs CD Manchego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.5%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
9.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
SEG
1 - 2
RAY
53%
19%
28%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
RAY
3 - 0
PUE
66%
18%
16%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
ALC
3 - 1
RAY
39%
21%
40%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
RAY
3 - 2
CDB
78%
13%
9%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
TAL
5 - 3
RAY
42%
20%
38%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
CD Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
ALC
3 - 4
MAN
67%
17%
16%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
MAN
4 - 3
CDB
64%
18%
19%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
TAL
0 - 0
MAN
67%
17%
17%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
MAN
3 - 1
CUA
82%
11%
7%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
CPC
5 - 0
MAN
72%
15%
13%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |