Rayo Vallecano vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
10.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1999 |
OSA
1 - 1
RAY
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
CDB
2 - 2
RAY
41%
29%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1999 |
RAY
1 - 0
LEG
70%
19%
12%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1999 |
MER
4 - 2
RAY
57%
24%
20%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1999 |
RAY
2 - 1
REC
76%
17%
8%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1999 |
HER
1 - 3
ATB
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
HER
2 - 1
MLL
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1999 |
UDL
4 - 2
HER
79%
14%
7%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1999 |
HER
1 - 0
SPO
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 1999 |
EIB
1 - 0
HER
39%
31%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |