Rayo Vallecano vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
CAS
5 - 1
RAY
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
RAY
3 - 0
UDL
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
CAD
0 - 0
RAY
74%
15%
11%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
RAY
0 - 1
CCF
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
RAY
2 - 2
RJA
48%
23%
29%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
MAL
0 - 0
MUR
56%
23%
22%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
EXT
2 - 0
MAL
57%
21%
22%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
MAL
0 - 0
UDL
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1961 |
VAL
4 - 0
MAL
56%
22%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
CAS
3 - 1
MAL
33%
26%
42%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |