Copa Federacion Final
Global 1-4
Rayo Vallecano B vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.1%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
72.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.4%
0-2
16.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
22.6%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
PBO
0 - 0
RVB
33%
28%
39%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
RVB
1 - 1
POZ
68%
20%
12%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
MEX
1 - 0
RVB
39%
28%
34%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
RJA
0 - 0
RVB
78%
17%
5%
|
41 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
RVB
1 - 0
MST
59%
24%
17%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
RJA
0 - 0
ANT
55%
27%
18%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
GRA
2 - 2
RJA
37%
28%
35%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
RJA
0 - 0
RVB
78%
17%
5%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
RJA
1 - 0
LUC
57%
27%
17%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
PUE
1 - 0
RJA
32%
29%
39%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |