Rayo Sanluqueño vs Alcalá del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
32.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Sanluqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
EST
1 - 0
RAY
60%
20%
19%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
RAY
1 - 1
UDR
18%
21%
61%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
SID
0 - 1
RAY
56%
22%
23%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
VIL
4 - 0
RAY
62%
21%
17%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
RAY
6 - 3
FED
48%
24%
29%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Alcalá del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
ALC
1 - 2
ACN
68%
18%
14%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ATL
4 - 0
ALC
31%
23%
46%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ALC
1 - 0
CDR
47%
23%
30%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 2
ALG
71%
16%
13%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 0
ALC
48%
22%
29%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |