Raufoss II vs Modum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
61.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Raufoss II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2013 |
MJO
3 - 1
RAU
52%
22%
26%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
RAU
1 - 2
LOM
37%
22%
40%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
JEV
3 - 1
RAU
76%
14%
10%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2013 |
RAU
0 - 2
HBK
59%
20%
21%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
HOL
3 - 0
RAU
73%
16%
11%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Modum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
MOD
2 - 2
ULL
52%
22%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
BAE
3 - 4
MOD
30%
23%
46%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
MJO
0 - 2
MOD
24%
23%
54%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
MOD
3 - 0
LOM
72%
16%
13%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
JEV
4 - 2
MOD
38%
23%
39%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |