NI Third Division Round 12

Rathfriland Rangers vs Dergview FC analysis

Rathfriland Rangers Dergview FC
49 ELO 44
3% Tilt 0.7%
4645º General ELO ranking 6372º
29º Country ELO ranking 36º
ELO win probability
47.4%
Rathfriland Rangers
22.9%
Draw
29.7%
Dergview FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
Rathfriland Rangers
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
29.7%
Win probability
Dergview FC
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Rathfriland Rangers
+55%
-51%
Dergview FC

ELO progression

Rathfriland Rangers
Dergview FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Rathfriland Rangers
Rathfriland Rangers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Feb. 2025
LIS
Lisburn Distillery
1 - 3
Rathfriland Rangers
RRF
42%
24%
34%
47 44 3 0
25 Jan. 2025
RRF
Rathfriland Rangers
3 - 2
Portstewart
POR
65%
19%
16%
47 31 16 0
04 Jan. 2025
DUN
Dungannon Swifts
5 - 0
Rathfriland Rangers
RRF
77%
14%
9%
47 71 24 0
28 Dec. 2024
WAR
Warrenpoint Town
3 - 2
Rathfriland Rangers
RRF
60%
21%
19%
48 55 7 -1
21 Dec. 2024
RRF
Rathfriland Rangers
3 - 1
Coagh United
COA
51%
22%
26%
47 41 6 +1

Matches

Dergview FC
Dergview FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Feb. 2025
DER
Dergview FC
1 - 0
Banbridge Town
BAN
41%
24%
35%
45 44 1 0
07 Feb. 2025
DER
Dergview FC
0 - 1
Ballymacash Rangers
BRF
28%
25%
47%
45 56 11 0
31 Jan. 2025
OSF
Oxford Sunnyside
6 - 2
Dergview FC
DER
11%
15%
75%
48 21 27 -3
11 Jan. 2025
WAR
Warrenpoint Town
4 - 1
Dergview FC
DER
63%
20%
17%
49 55 6 -1
28 Dec. 2024
DER
Dergview FC
3 - 1
Queens University Belfast
QUB
28%
24%
48%
47 52 5 +2