Rápido Bahía vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
39.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rápido Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
EST
1 - 2
RAP
72%
17%
11%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
RAP
0 - 3
POR
26%
24%
50%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
CAS
1 - 0
RAP
58%
21%
21%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
RAP
5 - 0
CAM
24%
24%
52%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +3 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
POR
0 - 2
RAP
71%
19%
11%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
CHO
1 - 0
SDN
76%
16%
8%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
CHO
1 - 1
SAN
56%
23%
21%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
EST
2 - 0
CHO
55%
23%
22%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
CHO
0 - 3
POR
44%
25%
32%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
CAS
0 - 2
CHO
46%
24%
31%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |