Q. Europa League Play-Offs. Final
Global 4-2
Rapid Wien vs Trenčín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
WOL
1 - 1
RAP
29%
26%
46%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2016 |
TRE
0 - 4
RAP
43%
24%
34%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
RAP
4 - 0
AWM
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
AUS
1 - 4
RAP
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
RAP
3 - 0
TOR
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Trenčín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
TRE
3 - 1
RUZ
55%
22%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2016 |
TRE
0 - 4
RAP
43%
24%
34%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
DAC
2 - 3
TRE
27%
27%
46%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
TPD
0 - 9
TRE
2%
7%
90%
|
75 | 12 | 63 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
TRE
0 - 1
POD
67%
18%
14%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |