Austrian Bundesliga Normal Season Round 3

Rapid Wien vs Austria Lustenau analysis

Rapid Wien Austria Lustenau
81 ELO 69
5.6% Tilt 14.4%
547º General ELO ranking 790º
Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
68.1%
Rapid Wien
19%
Draw
12.9%
Austria Lustenau

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
Rapid Wien
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.9%
Win probability
Austria Lustenau
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Rapid Wien
Their league position
Austria Lustenau
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
27
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Salzburg
55
55
100%
Sturm Graz
48
48
100%
LASK
38
38
100%
Austria Wien
32
35
100%
Rapid Wien
33
33
100%
Austria Klagenfurt
30
30
100%
WSG Tirol
28
28
100%
Austria Lustenau
27
27
100%
Wolfsberger AC
21
21
100%
SV Ried
11º
18
18
10º
0%
TSV Hartberg
10º
18
18
11º
0%
SCR Altach
12º
17
17
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Rapid Wien
Austria Lustenau
Play-offs for the title
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 100%

ELO progression

Rapid Wien
Austria Lustenau
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Rapid Wien
Rapid Wien
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Aug. 2022
FKN
Neftçi
2 - 1
Rapid Wien
RAP
30%
25%
46%
82 73 9 0
31 Jul. 2022
SKA
Austria Klagenfurt
0 - 1
Rapid Wien
RAP
31%
24%
46%
82 76 6 0
28 Jul. 2022
GDA
Lechia Gdansk
1 - 2
Rapid Wien
RAP
34%
24%
42%
82 78 4 0
24 Jul. 2022
RAP
Rapid Wien
1 - 0
SV Ried
RIE
54%
23%
23%
82 77 5 0
21 Jul. 2022
RAP
Rapid Wien
0 - 0
Lechia Gdansk
GDA
55%
22%
24%
82 78 4 0

Matches

Austria Lustenau
Austria Lustenau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jul. 2022
RIE
SV Ried
1 - 0
Austria Lustenau
SCA
55%
24%
22%
69 77 8 0
24 Jul. 2022
SCA
Austria Lustenau
2 - 1
WSG Tirol
WAT
26%
24%
51%
68 77 9 +1
16 Jul. 2022
MAN
Marchfeld
2 - 3
Austria Lustenau
SCA
9%
15%
77%
68 45 23 0
08 Jul. 2022
SCA
Austria Lustenau
0 - 4
Köln
KOL
21%
21%
59%
68 82 14 0
06 Jul. 2022
DOR
Dornbirner SV
0 - 5
Austria Lustenau
SCA
5%
12%
84%
68 24 44 0