Europa Conference League qualifiers Third Round Final

Global 3-2

Rapid Wien vs Neftçi analysis

Rapid Wien Neftçi
82 ELO 73
5% Tilt 14.4%
595º General ELO ranking 1467º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
64.6%
Rapid Wien
20.4%
Draw
15%
Neftçi

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
Rapid Wien
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15%
Win probability
Neftçi
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO progression

Rapid Wien
Neftçi
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Rapid Wien
Rapid Wien
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Aug. 2022
RAP
Rapid Wien
1 - 1
Austria Lustenau
SCA
68%
19%
13%
82 69 13 0
04 Aug. 2022
FKN
Neftçi
2 - 1
Rapid Wien
RAP
30%
25%
46%
82 73 9 0
31 Jul. 2022
SKA
Austria Klagenfurt
0 - 1
Rapid Wien
RAP
31%
24%
46%
82 76 6 0
28 Jul. 2022
GDA
Lechia Gdansk
1 - 2
Rapid Wien
RAP
34%
24%
42%
82 78 4 0
24 Jul. 2022
RAP
Rapid Wien
1 - 0
SV Ried
RIE
54%
23%
23%
82 77 5 0

Matches

Neftçi
Neftçi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Aug. 2022
SHA
Shamakhi
0 - 1
Neftçi
FKN
26%
28%
46%
73 64 9 0
04 Aug. 2022
FKN
Neftçi
2 - 1
Rapid Wien
RAP
30%
25%
46%
73 82 9 0
28 Jul. 2022
FKN
Neftçi
3 - 0
Aris Limassol
ARI
47%
24%
29%
72 73 1 +1
21 Jul. 2022
ARI
Aris Limassol
2 - 0
Neftçi
FKN
46%
25%
29%
73 72 1 -1
14 Jul. 2022
GFK
Gaziantep
0 - 0
Neftçi
FKN
49%
24%
27%
73 74 1 0