Rapid Lienz vs Hermagor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
16%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Lienz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
WOL
1 - 3
RAP
64%
20%
17%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
RAP
4 - 1
RUD
57%
22%
21%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
FLC
2 - 0
RAP
32%
24%
44%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2011 |
RAP
4 - 3
SCL
64%
21%
15%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
WAC
0 - 0
RAP
32%
24%
44%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Hermagor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
FCH
3 - 0
EAC
27%
23%
50%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
TRE
5 - 1
FCH
77%
15%
8%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
FCH
0 - 3
FEL
14%
19%
67%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | 0 |