Q. Europa League 1st Qualifying Round Final
Global 4-0
Randers vs Sant Julià analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Randers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
SJU
0 - 1
RAN
34%
26%
40%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
HÄC
1 - 1
RAN
55%
24%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
OBK
0 - 2
RAN
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
RAN
1 - 1
BIF
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2015 |
SIF
0 - 2
RAN
32%
28%
41%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Sant Julià
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
SJU
0 - 1
RAN
34%
26%
40%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
SCO
1 - 1
SJU
38%
24%
38%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
SCO
3 - 1
SJU
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
SJU
1 - 3
UES
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
LUS
1 - 1
SJU
44%
25%
32%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |