Q. Europa League 1st Round Final
Global 7-3
Randers vs F91 Dudelange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Randers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
RAN
1 - 3
BIF
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
OBK
1 - 3
RAN
51%
26%
24%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
RAN
3 - 1
AAB
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
FCN
1 - 1
RAN
51%
25%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2010 |
RAN
2 - 0
MID
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
F91 Dudelange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2010 |
F91
3 - 3
FOL
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
MON
0 - 9
F91
15%
22%
64%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
F91
5 - 0
GRE
63%
20%
16%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
F91
2 - 2
FOL
68%
18%
14%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
KAE
1 - 0
F91
17%
23%
61%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |