Randers vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
33.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
6º
6º
51
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 17 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 16 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 14 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 14 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 9 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Randers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2023 |
FCN
3 - 1
RAN
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
RAN
0 - 2
VFF
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
RAN
1 - 3
BIF
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
VFF
3 - 1
RAN
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
BIF
0 - 4
RAN
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
FCK
4 - 3
AGF
64%
22%
15%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
AGF
1 - 1
FCN
29%
26%
44%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
AGF
3 - 0
VFF
27%
26%
47%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
FCN
0 - 1
AGF
55%
24%
22%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
AGF
0 - 0
FCK
18%
23%
59%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |