Randers vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
33.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
6º
6º
51
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 17 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 16 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 14 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 14 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 9 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Randers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2023 |
FCN
3 - 1
RAN
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
RAN
0 - 2
VFF
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
RAN
1 - 3
BIF
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
VFF
3 - 1
RAN
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
BIF
0 - 4
RAN
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
FCK
4 - 3
AGF
64%
22%
15%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
AGF
1 - 1
FCN
29%
26%
44%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
AGF
3 - 0
VFF
27%
26%
47%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
FCN
0 - 1
AGF
55%
24%
22%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
AGF
0 - 0
FCK
18%
23%
59%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |