Danish Superliga Europa League Play-offs Semi-finals

Global 3-2

Randers vs AGF Aarhus analysis

Randers AGF Aarhus
73 ELO 76
-15% Tilt 5.1%
373º General ELO ranking 293º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
28.3%
Randers
26.5%
Draw
45.3%
AGF Aarhus

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
Randers
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
45.3%
Win probability
AGF Aarhus
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Randers
-1%
-14%
AGF Aarhus

ELO progression

Randers
AGF Aarhus
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Randers
Randers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 May. 2019
RAN
Randers
4 - 3
SonderjyskE
SON
41%
27%
32%
73 70 3 0
05 May. 2019
SON
SonderjyskE
1 - 1
Randers
RAN
33%
27%
40%
74 70 4 -1
26 Apr. 2019
VEN
Vendsyssel
0 - 0
Randers
RAN
33%
27%
41%
75 71 4 -1
22 Apr. 2019
RAN
Randers
0 - 2
Aalborg BK
AAB
39%
28%
34%
76 75 1 -1
19 Apr. 2019
RAN
Randers
1 - 0
Hobro
HOB
49%
27%
24%
75 68 7 +1

Matches

AGF Aarhus
AGF Aarhus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 May. 2019
AGF
AGF Aarhus
2 - 0
Aalborg BK
AAB
54%
24%
23%
77 73 4 0
05 May. 2019
AAB
Aalborg BK
0 - 1
AGF Aarhus
AGF
33%
25%
41%
77 74 3 0
28 Apr. 2019
AGF
AGF Aarhus
3 - 1
AC Horsens
ACH
68%
20%
13%
78 65 13 -1
21 Apr. 2019
VEJ
Vejle BK
2 - 4
AGF Aarhus
AGF
23%
25%
53%
79 69 10 -1
18 Apr. 2019
AGF
AGF Aarhus
2 - 1
SonderjyskE
SON
57%
23%
21%
78 72 6 +1