Rancho Santana vs Real Estelí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
59.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
8º
10º
10º
36
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rancho Santana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
RSA
2 - 2
CDS
15%
20%
65%
|
12 | 59 | 47 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
DIR
2 - 3
RSA
80%
14%
7%
|
11 | 69 | 58 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
RSA
0 - 1
WAL
19%
24%
57%
|
11 | 62 | 51 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
DEP
2 - 0
RSA
75%
16%
9%
|
11 | 55 | 44 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
UNA
1 - 1
RSA
86%
10%
5%
|
10 | 56 | 46 | +1 |
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
UNA
0 - 4
EST
29%
26%
46%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
EST
4 - 0
MAN
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
EST
0 - 0
CDS
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
DIR
1 - 0
EST
50%
24%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
EST
3 - 0
DEP
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |