CAF Champions . Last 16
Global 1-1
Raja Casablanca vs Horoya AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Raja Casablanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
HOR
1 - 0
RCA
34%
27%
40%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
RSB
1 - 1
RCA
34%
31%
35%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
DIA
1 - 2
RCA
24%
27%
49%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
RCA
6 - 0
DIA
75%
16%
10%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
FUR
1 - 0
RCA
46%
28%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Horoya AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
HOR
1 - 0
RCA
34%
27%
40%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
SOU
1 - 0
HOR
41%
29%
30%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
HOR
3 - 0
NOU
82%
14%
5%
|
62 | 31 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
NOU
1 - 1
HOR
10%
18%
72%
|
63 | 30 | 33 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
ASH
0 - 3
HOR
39%
29%
32%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |