Raith Rovers vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
DUM
0 - 0
RAI
29%
26%
45%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
DUN
0 - 0
RAI
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
RAI
1 - 0
QOS
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
FAL
2 - 4
RAI
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
RAI
0 - 0
HIB
36%
27%
37%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
AYR
0 - 1
FAL
34%
27%
39%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
STM
2 - 1
AYR
37%
25%
38%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
AYR
0 - 3
HIB
29%
28%
43%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
GRE
2 - 1
AYR
47%
27%
27%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
AYR
1 - 0
QOS
38%
27%
36%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |